United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2010

November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)


Turnout	237,137

Nominee	Rick Berg	Earl Pomeroy
Party	Republican	Democratic-NPL
Popular vote	129,802	106,542
Percentage	54.74	44.93

Results by county.
Berg:
Pomeroy:

Representative before election

Earl Pomeroy
Democratic-NPL

Elected Representative

Rick Berg
Republican

Elections in North Dakota

Federal government

Presidential elections
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Presidential Primaries
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State government

General elections
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Ballot measures

2004
Constitutional Measure 1

The 2010 House election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2010 to elect the state's At-large Representative to the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the person elected will serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013. North Dakota has one seat in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States Census.

The election was held concurrently with the United States Senate elections of 2010 (including one in North Dakota), the United States House elections in other states and various state and local elections.

Background

Despite Republican dominance in Presidential elections in North Dakota (which hasn't voted Democratic since 1964) as well as state and local elections, Democrats have since the late 1980s achieved several consecutive victories in Congressional elections in the state. Democrats have held the state's at-large House seat since 1981 when Incumbent Republican Representative Mark Andrews retired from the House of Representatives to run for and subsequently win election to the Senate in 1980. Following the 1986 Congressional elections, Democrats gained North Dakota's Class III U.S. Senate seat in addition to having already held the state's other Senate seat, thus giving Democrats control of both its U.S. Senate seats for the first time in North Dakota's history. From 1987 to date, North Dakota has had a completely Democratic Congressional delegation.

Since first being elected in 1992, incumbent Democrat Earl Pomeroy has won reelection, sometimes with difficulty, but usually by comfortable margins. However with Democrats fighting in a much tougher political environment in 2010, Republicans plan on putting forward a serious challenge.^[1] Republicans running against him include state Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer, state Representative Rick Berg, and former University of Mary football coach Paul Schaffner. Pomeroy will likely be more vulnerable than usual due to his support for the Democratic House Healthcare bill, which 64% of North Dakotans opposed, and President's Obama declining job approval ratings in the state (of which 39% approve and 58% disapprove, with 45% strongly disapproving).^[2]

Candidates

Democrats

Earl Pomeroy, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republicans

Rick Berg, North Dakota State Representative and former state House Majority Leader
J.D. Donaghe, oil field consultant

Polling

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Earl Pomeroy (D)	Rick Berg (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies†	October 24–25, 2010	42%	51%	-	-
Rasmussen Reports	October 18–19, 2010	42%	52%	1%	5%
The Hill/ANGA	October 16–19, 2010	45%	44%	-	9%
Prairie Poll	October, 2010	43.5%	33.6%	-	-
Rasmussen Reports	September 20–21, 2010	45%	48%	1%	5%
Garin-Hart-Yang†	September 10–12, 2010	46%	44%	-	-
Rasmussen Reports	August 10–11, 2010	44%	53%	1%	3%
Rasmussen Reports	July 21, 2010	46%	49%	1%	5%
Rasmussen Reports	June 15–16, 2010	44%	51%	1%	5%
Rasmussen Reports	May 19, 2010	43%	52%	2%	3%
Rasmussen Reports	April 20, 2010	45%	49%	2%	4%
Rasmussen Reports	March 23–24, 2010	44%	51%	1%	4%
Rasmussen Reports	February 9–10, 2010	40%	46%	3%	11%

†Internal poll (Garin-Hart-Yang for Pomeroy and Public Opinion Strategies for Berg)

Results

North Dakota's At-large congressional district election, 2010^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rick Berg	129,802	54.74
	Democratic-NPL	Earl Pomeroy (inc.)	106,542	44.93
	Write-ins		793	0.33
Total votes			237,137	100.00
	Republican gain from Democratic-NPL

References

↑ Cadei, Emily (2010-02-12). "Pomeroy Trails GOP Challenger in North Dakota - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
↑ "Election 2010: North Dakota House of Representatives - Rasmussen Reports". Rasmussenreports.com. 2010-08-16. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
↑ http://results.sos.nd.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=SW&map=CTY

External links

Elections and Voting at the North Dakota Secretary of State
U.S. Congress candidates for North Dakota at Project Vote Smart
2010 North Dakota General Election: Rick Berg (R) vs Earl Pomeroy (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
House - North Dakota from the Cook Political Report
North Dakota - At-Large from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
2010 North Dakota - 1st District from CQ Politics
Race profile at The New York Times

Debates

North Dakota House Debate on C-SPAN, October 4, 2010 (26:42)

(2009 ←) 2010 United States elections (→ 2011)

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Elections in North Dakota

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See also: Political party strength in North Dakota

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