New Mexico gubernatorial election, 2010
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Elections in New Mexico |
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General elections |
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The 2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Democratic Governor Bill Richardson was term limited and unable to seek re-election.
On June 1, 2010, the Republicans nominated Susana Martínez, the district attorney for Doña Ana County, New Mexico, and the Democrats nominated Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish.
While it was initially thought that Richardson would resign early to become Secretary of Commerce in the Obama administration, Richardson withdrew from the position due to allegations of corruption that were later cleared and he remained Governor until the conclusion of his term.[1]
Susana Martínez won the election on November 2, 2010 and became New Mexico's first elected female governor.
Democratic nomination
The Democratic primary election was held on June 1, 2010.[2]
Candidate
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Diane Denish | 108,302 | 99.1 | |
Democratic | Billy J. Driggs (write-in) | 1,106 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 109,318 | 100 | ||
Republican nomination
The Republican primary was held on June 1, 2010.[2] Susana Martinez won the Republican nomination by getting over 50 percent of the vote in the primary. A pre-primary convention was held on March 13 and Martinez received 47 percent of the pre-primary Republican vote.[5]
Candidates
Declared
- Janice Arnold-Jones, State Representative[6]
- Pete Domenici, Jr., attorney and son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici[7]
- Susana Martínez, Doña Ana County district attorney[8]
- Doug Turner, public relations firm owner and political consultant[8]
- Allen Weh, former chairman of the state Republican Party[8]
Declined
- Steve Pearce, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 (ran for Congress)[9]
- Heather Wilson, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[10]
- Greg Zanetti, former Bernalillo County Republican Party Chair and New Mexico National Guard brigadier general[11]
Convention
A pre-primary nominating convention was held on March 13, 2010. Susana Martinez was victorious, winning the support of 46.65 percent of delegates, while Allen Weh received 26.32%, Janice Arnold-Jones received 13.16%, Doug Turner won 9.43%, and Pete Domenici, Jr. won 4.61%. Candidates who receive less than 20% of the convention vote are required to collect twice as many signatures as those who received 20% in order to appear on the primary ballot. Nonetheless, Arnold-Jones, Turner and Domenici all signaled their intention to remain in the race.[5]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Janice Arnold-Jones | Pete Domenici, Jr. | Susana Martínez | Doug Turner | Allen Weh | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | May 23–25, 2010 | — | — | 3% | 8% | 43% | 8% | 33% | 5% |
New Mexico State University | February 9–13, 2010 | — | — | 2.5% | 29.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 42.6% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Susana Martínez | 62,006 | 50.7 | |
Republican | Allen Weh | 33,727 | 27.6 | |
Republican | Doug Turner | 14,166 | 11.6 | |
Republican | Pete Domenici, Jr. | 8,630 | 7.0 | |
Republican | Janice Arnold-Jones | 3,740 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 122,269 | 100 | ||
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Toss up[12] | October 25, 2010 |
Rothenberg | Leans R[13] | October 22, 2010 |
Swing State Project | Leans R | |
RealClearPolitics | Leans R[14] | October 25, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans R[15] | October 21, 2010 |
CQ Politics | Likely D[16] | October 25, 2010 |
Rasmussen Reports | Leans R[17] | October 24, 2010 |
FiveThirtyEight | R[18] | October 25, 2010 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Diane Denish (D) |
Susana Martínez (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 24, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 52% | — | — |
SurveyUSA | October 15, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 54% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 52% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2010 | — | — | 41% | 51% | — | — |
Albuquerque Journal | September 27–30, 2010 | — | — | 41% | 47% | — | — |
Public Policy Polling | September 25–26, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 50% | — | — |
Public Opinion Strategies | September 11–13, 2010 | — | — | 40% | 50% | — | — |
Albuquerque Journal | August 23–27, 2010 | — | — | 39% | 45% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | August 24, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 48% | — | — |
Magellan Strategies | June 21, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 44% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | June 3, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 44% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | May 25, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 42% | — | — |
SurveyUSA | May 23–25, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 49% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | March 24, 2010 | — | — | 51% | 32% | — | — |
Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2010 | — | — | 46% | 32% | — | — |
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | ||
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Republican | Susana Martínez | 321,219 | 53.29% | +22.10% | ||
Democratic | Diane Denish | 280,614 | 46.55% | -22.27% | ||
Write-ins | 994 | 0.16% | ||||
Majority | 40,605 | 6.74% | -30.90% | |||
Turnout | 602,827 | |||||
Republican gain from Democratic | ||||||
See also
References
- ↑ "Richardson withdrawal leaves cabinet gap". MSNBC. January 6, 2009. Retrieved January 4, 2009.
- 1 2 Rudin, Ken (January 25, 2010). "Your 2010 Election Calendar". National Public Radio. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- ↑ Jennings, Trip (November 5, 2009). "Denish, running for governor, steps into budgetary fray". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- 1 2 "Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010 – State of New Mexico" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived (PDF) from the original on 21 February 2014.
- 1 2 Haussamen, Heath (March 13, 2010). "Martinez takes impressive 47 percent of votes at GOP convention". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved March 13, 2010.
- ↑ "New Mexico Gov Field at Two With More Likely". CQ Politics. August 1, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- ↑ "Pete Domenici Jr. to run for governor". KRQE. January 16, 2010. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- 1 2 3 "Susana Martinez officially declares candidacy for NM governor". Las Cruces Sun-News. February 9, 2010. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- ↑ "Pearce Switches Races". Political Wire. July 6, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- ↑ "Wilson: I won't run for governor". KRQE. October 29, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- ↑ Ornelas, Chris (July 17, 2009). "GOP gubernatorial candidate drops out". KOB. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "Governor Race Ratings". New York Times. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
- ↑ "Canvass of Returns of General Election Held on November 2, 2010 – State of New Mexico" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 September 2011.
External links
- New Mexico Secretary of State – Elections
- New Mexico Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 New Mexico Governor from Follow the Money
- New Mexico Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 New Mexico Governor General Election: Susana Martinez (R) vs Diane Denish (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: New Mexico Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. Denish from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 New Mexico Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites