New Mexico gubernatorial election, 2010

New Mexico gubernatorial election, 2010
New Mexico
November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Susana Martínez Diane Denish
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate John Sanchez Brian Colon
Popular vote 321,219 280,614
Percentage 53.29% 46.55%

County results

Governor before election

Bill Richardson
Democratic

Elected Governor

Susana Martínez
Republican

The 2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Democratic Governor Bill Richardson was term limited and unable to seek re-election.

On June 1, 2010, the Republicans nominated Susana Martínez, the district attorney for Doña Ana County, New Mexico, and the Democrats nominated Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish.

While it was initially thought that Richardson would resign early to become Secretary of Commerce in the Obama administration, Richardson withdrew from the position due to allegations of corruption that were later cleared and he remained Governor until the conclusion of his term.[1]

Susana Martínez won the election on November 2, 2010 and became New Mexico's first elected female governor.

Democratic nomination

The Democratic primary election was held on June 1, 2010.[2]

Candidate

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Diane Denish 108,302 99.1
Democratic Billy J. Driggs (write-in) 1,106 0.9
Total votes 109,318 100

Republican nomination

The Republican primary was held on June 1, 2010.[2] Susana Martinez won the Republican nomination by getting over 50 percent of the vote in the primary. A pre-primary convention was held on March 13 and Martinez received 47 percent of the pre-primary Republican vote.[5]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Convention

A pre-primary nominating convention was held on March 13, 2010. Susana Martinez was victorious, winning the support of 46.65 percent of delegates, while Allen Weh received 26.32%, Janice Arnold-Jones received 13.16%, Doug Turner won 9.43%, and Pete Domenici, Jr. won 4.61%. Candidates who receive less than 20% of the convention vote are required to collect twice as many signatures as those who received 20% in order to appear on the primary ballot. Nonetheless, Arnold-Jones, Turner and Domenici all signaled their intention to remain in the race.[5]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Janice Arnold-Jones Pete Domenici, Jr. Susana Martínez Doug Turner Allen Weh Undecided
SurveyUSA May 23–25, 2010 3% 8% 43% 8% 33% 5%
New Mexico State University February 9–13, 2010 2.5% 29.3% 11.5% 6.8% 7.4% 42.6%

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Susana Martínez 62,006 50.7
Republican Allen Weh 33,727 27.6
Republican Doug Turner 14,166 11.6
Republican Pete Domenici, Jr. 8,630 7.0
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 3,740 3.1
Total votes 122,269 100

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Toss up[12] October 25, 2010
Rothenberg Leans R[13] October 22, 2010
Swing State Project Leans R
RealClearPolitics Leans R[14] October 25, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans R[15] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics Likely D[16] October 25, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Leans R[17] October 24, 2010
FiveThirtyEight R[18] October 25, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Diane
Denish (D)
Susana
Martínez (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 2010 42% 52%
SurveyUSA October 15, 2010 42% 54%
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2010 43% 52%
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2010 41% 51%
Albuquerque Journal September 27–30, 2010 41% 47%
Public Policy Polling September 25–26, 2010 42% 50%
Public Opinion Strategies September 11–13, 2010 40% 50%
Albuquerque Journal August 23–27, 2010 39% 45%
Rasmussen Reports August 24, 2010 43% 48%
Magellan Strategies June 21, 2010 43% 44%
Rasmussen Reports June 3, 2010 42% 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 25, 2010 43% 42%
SurveyUSA May 23–25, 2010 43% 49%
Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010 51% 32%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2010 46% 32%

Results

New Mexico gubernatorial election, 2010[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Susana Martínez 321,219 53.29% +22.10%
Democratic Diane Denish 280,614 46.55% -22.27%
Write-ins 994 0.16%
Majority 40,605 6.74% -30.90%
Turnout 602,827
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

References

  1. "Richardson withdrawal leaves cabinet gap". MSNBC. January 6, 2009. Retrieved January 4, 2009.
  2. 1 2 Rudin, Ken (January 25, 2010). "Your 2010 Election Calendar". National Public Radio. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  3. Jennings, Trip (November 5, 2009). "Denish, running for governor, steps into budgetary fray". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  4. 1 2 "Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010 – State of New Mexico" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived (PDF) from the original on 21 February 2014.
  5. 1 2 Haussamen, Heath (March 13, 2010). "Martinez takes impressive 47 percent of votes at GOP convention". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved March 13, 2010.
  6. "New Mexico Gov Field at Two With More Likely". CQ Politics. August 1, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  7. "Pete Domenici Jr. to run for governor". KRQE. January 16, 2010. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  8. 1 2 3 "Susana Martinez officially declares candidacy for NM governor". Las Cruces Sun-News. February 9, 2010. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  9. "Pearce Switches Races". Political Wire. July 6, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  10. "Wilson: I won't run for governor". KRQE. October 29, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  11. Ornelas, Chris (July 17, 2009). "GOP gubernatorial candidate drops out". KOB. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
  12. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  13. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  14. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  15. "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  16. "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  17. "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  18. "Governor Race Ratings". New York Times. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  19. "Canvass of Returns of General Election Held on November 2, 2010 – State of New Mexico" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 September 2011.

External links

Official campaign websites
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