Estonian parliamentary election, 2019
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Parliamentary elections will be held in Estonia in 2019.
Electoral system
The 101 members of the Riigikogu is elected by proportional representation in twelve multi-member constituencies. The seats are allocated using a modified D'Hondt method. Parties have to pass a nationwide threshold of 5%, but if the number of votes cast for an individual candidate exceeds or equals the simple quota (obtained by dividing the number of valid votes cast in the electoral district by the number of mandates in the district), they are elected.[3]
Opinion polls
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.
Date | Polling Firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | IRL | EVA | EKRE | Green | Others | Lead | Govt-Opposition |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Nov 2016 | Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in | ||||||||||
Nov 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | N/A |
Nov 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 12 | – | 7 | 11 | N/A |
9 Nov 2016 | Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of confidence in Riigikogu | ||||||||||
Oct 2016 | TNS Emor | 22 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 47 – 50 |
Oct 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 10 | – | 11 | 1 | 44 – 45 |
Sep 2016 | TNS Emor | 22 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 50 – 45 |
Sep 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 10 | – | 11 | 1 | 44 – 45 |
Aug 2016 | TNS Emor | 28 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 51 – 45 |
Aug 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 13 | – | 10 | 1 | 43 – 47 |
Jun 2016 | TNS Emor | 27 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 50 – 46 |
Jun 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 20 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 37 – 53 |
May 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 14 | – | 15 | 2 | 37 – 48 |
Apr 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 46 – 50 |
Apr 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 14 | – | 8 | 4 | 41 – 51 |
Mar 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 13 | – | 8 | 2 | 42 – 50 |
Mar 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 43 – 54 |
Feb 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 11 | – | 7 | 6 | 41 – 52 |
Feb 2016 | TNS Emor | 22 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 44 – 51 |
Jan 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 12 | – | 12 | 9 | 37 – 51 |
Dec 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 20 | 25 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 10 | – | 11 | 5 | 41 – 48 |
Dec 2015 | TNS Emor | 21 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 45 – 51 |
Nov 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 9 | – | 9 | 16 | 38 – 53 |
Nov 2015 | TNS Emor | 20 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 43 – 51 |
Oct 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 19 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 10 | – | 8 | 8 | 41 – 51 |
Sep 2015 | TNS Emor | 24 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 49 – 48 |
Sep 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 6 | – | 9 | 8 | 45 – 46 |
Aug 2015 | TNS Emor | 20 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 45 – 51 |
Jun 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 16 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 6 | – | 8 | 10 | 43 – 49 |
Jun 2015 | TNS Emor | 18 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 42 – 54 |
May 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 18 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 7 | – | 8 | 13 | 40 – 52 |
May 2015 | TNS Emor | 19 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 44 – 52 |
Apr 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 22 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 7 | – | 6 | 4 | 49 – 45 |
Mar 2015 | TNS Emor | 28 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 54 – 45 |
1 Mar 2015 | Election Results | 27.7 | 24.8 | 15.2 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 56,6 – 41,6 |
References
- ↑ "Ossinovski valiti sotside uueks juhiks, Mikser loobus". Postimees. 30 May 2015. Retrieved 30 May 2015.
- ↑ "IRLi esimeheks valiti Margus Tsahkna". Postimees. 6 June 2015. Retrieved 6 June 2015.
- ↑ "Riigikogu Election Act". Riigi Teataja. 20 January 2015. Retrieved 1 April 2015.