Total factor productivity

In economics, total-factor productivity (TFP), also called multi-factor productivity, is a variable which accounts for effects in total output growth relative to the growth in traditionally measured inputs of labor and capital. TFP is calculated by dividing output by the weighted average of labor and capital input, with the standard weighting of 0.7 for labor and 0.3 for capital.[1] If all inputs are accounted for, then total factor productivity (TFP) can be taken as a measure of an economy’s long-term technological change or technological dynamism.

The equation below (in Cobb–Douglas form) represents total output (Y) as a function of total-factor productivity (A), capital input (K), labor input (L), and the two inputs' respective shares of output (α and β are the capital input share of contribution for K and L respectively). An increase in either A, K or L will lead to an increase in output. While capital and labor input are tangible, total-factor productivity appears to be more intangible as it can range from technology to knowledge of worker (human capital).

Technology growth and efficiency are regarded as two of the biggest sub-sections of Total Factor Productivity, the former possessing "special" inherent features such as positive externalities and non-rivalness which enhance its position as a driver of economic growth.

Total Factor Productivity is often seen as the real driver of growth within an economy and studies reveal that whilst labour and investment are important contributors, Total Factor Productivity may account for up to 60% of growth within economies.[2]

TFP is more accurately measured in long term, since TFP can vary substantially from one year to another.[3]

It has been shown that there is a historical correlation between TFP and energy conversion efficiency.[4]

Criticism

Growth accounting exercises and Total Factor Productivity are open to the Cambridge Critique. Therefore, some economists believe that the method and its results are invalid.

On the basis of dimensional analysis, TFP is criticized as not having meaningful units of measurement.[5] The units of the quantities in the Cobb–Douglas equation are:

The units of A do not admit a simple economic interpretation, and the concept of TFP is accordingly criticized as a modeling artifact.

Estimation

As a residual, TFP is also dependent on estimates of the other components.[6] A 2005 study[7] on human capital attempted to correct for weaknesses in estimations of the labour component of the equation, by refining estimates of the quality of labour. Specifically, years of schooling is often taken as a proxy for the quality of labour (and stock of human capital), which does not account for differences in schooling between countries. Using these re-estimations, the contribution of TFP was substantially lower.

Robert Ayres and Benjamin Warr have found that the model can be improved by using the efficiency of energy conversion, which roughly tracks technological progress.[8][9]

See also

References

  1. ↑ Gordon, Robert J. (2016). The Rise and Fall of American Growth. Princeton, NJ USA: Princeton University Press. p. 546. ISBN 978-0-691-14772-7.
  2. ↑ Easterly, W.; Levine, R. (2001). "It's Not Factor Accumulation: Stylized Facts and Growth Models" (PDF).
  3. ↑ Machek O. (2012), ""Data Issues in Total Factor Productivity Benchmarking: A Central European Perspective"" (PDF)., The Annals of the University of Oradea. Economic Sciences., Vol. 21, No. 2, pp. 224-230.
  4. ↑ Ayres, R. U.; Ayres, L. W.; Warr, B. (2002). "Exergy, Power and Work in the U. S. Economy 1900-1998, Insead's Center For the Management of Environmental Resources, 2002/52/EPS/CMER" (PDF).
  5. ↑ (Barnett 2007, p. 96)
  6. ↑ Zelenyuk (2014) "Testing Significance of Contributions in Growth Accounting, with Application to Testing ICT Impact on Labor Productivity of Developed Countries" International Journal of Business and Economics 13:2, pp. 115-126.
  7. ↑ "Human Capital and the Wealth of Nations" (pdf). May 2006. Retrieved 2 November 2006
  8. ↑ Ayres, Robert U.; Warr, Benjamin (2004). "Accounting for Growth: The Role of Physical Work" (PDF).
  9. ↑ Ayres, Robert U.; Warr, Benjamin (2006). "Economic growth, technological progress and energy use in the U.S. over the last century: Identifying common trends and structural change in macroeconomic time series, INSEAD" (PDF).

Further reading

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