Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2004

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This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the United States presidential election, 2004. All candidates involved in polling are John Kerry, against incumbent President George W. Bush

Opinion polling

Alabama

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	October 26, 2004	John Kerry	39%	George W. Bush	57%	18
Electoral Vote	October 22, 2004	John Kerry	42%	George W. Bush	53%	11
Electoral Vote	October 13, 2004	John Kerry	41%	George W. Bush	53%	12
Electoral Vote	October 12, 2004	John Kerry	32%	George W. Bush	56%	24
Electoral Vote	October 1, 2004	John Kerry	34%	George W. Bush	62%	28
Electoral Vote	September 20, 2004	John Kerry	40%	George W. Bush	56%	16
Electoral Vote	September 14, 2004	John Kerry	40%	George W. Bush	54%	14
Electoral Vote	September 4, 2004	John Kerry	42%	George W. Bush	53%	11
Electoral Vote	August 22, 2004	John Kerry	37%	George W. Bush	58%	21
Electoral Vote	August 11, 2004	John Kerry	34%	George W. Bush	51%	17
Electoral Vote	July 24, 2004	John Kerry	34%	George W. Bush	56%	22

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	September 9, 2004	John Kerry	30%	George W. Bush	57%	27
Electoral Vote	June 27, 2004	John Kerry	33%	George W. Bush	56%	23

Arizona

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	October 29, 2004	John Kerry	41%	George W. Bush	56%	15
Electoral Vote	October 26, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	50%	5
Electoral Vote	October 17, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	50%	5
Electoral Vote	October 16, 2004	John Kerry	40%	George W. Bush	47%	7
Electoral Vote	October 16, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	54%	11
Electoral Vote	October 14, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	50%	3
Electoral Vote	October 7, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	49%	5
Electoral Vote	October 3, 2004	John Kerry	41%	George W. Bush	55%	14
Electoral Vote	October 1, 2004	John Kerry	38%	George W. Bush	48%	10
Electoral Vote	October 1, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	50%	3
Electoral Vote	September 28, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	53%	9
Electoral Vote	September 25, 2004	John Kerry	38%	George W. Bush	49%	11
Electoral Vote	September 21, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	54%	11
Electoral Vote	September 13, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	49%	1
Electoral Vote	September 12, 2004	John Kerry	39%	George W. Bush	50%	11
Electoral Vote	September 11, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	49%	6
Electoral Vote	July 11, 2004	John Kerry	36%	George W. Bush	48%	12

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	November 1, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	51%	5
Electoral Vote	October 27, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	51%	8
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	51%	6
Electoral Vote	October 16, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	48%	0
Electoral Vote	October 14, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	51%	5
Electoral Vote	October 13, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	50%	2
Electoral Vote	October 9, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	46%	1
Electoral Vote	October 3, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	52%	9
Electoral Vote	October 2, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	51%	6
Electoral Vote	October 1, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	47%	0
Electoral Vote	October 1, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	53%	9
Electoral Vote	September 29, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	53%	9
Electoral Vote	September 15, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	51%	7
Electoral Vote	September 14, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	48%	3
Electoral Vote	September 13, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	47%	0
Electoral Vote	August 22, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	48%	1
Electoral Vote	July 28, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	48%	2
Electoral Vote	July 20, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	47%	2
Electoral Vote	July 6, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	47%	2
Electoral Vote	June 18, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	45%	2
Electoral Vote	June 2, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	51%	8

California

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	October 29, 2004	John Kerry	54%	George W. Bush	43%	11
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	42%	7
Electoral Vote	October 23, 2004	John Kerry	53%	George W. Bush	43%	10
Electoral Vote	October 22, 2004	John Kerry	53%	George W. Bush	44%	9
Electoral Vote	October 15, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	41%	9
Electoral Vote	October 14, 2004	John Kerry	57%	George W. Bush	39%	18
Electoral Vote	October 9, 2004	John Kerry	51%	George W. Bush	43%	8
Electoral Vote	October 2, 2004	John Kerry	51%	George W. Bush	43%	8
Electoral Vote	October 1, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	40%	9
Electoral Vote	September 29, 2004	John Kerry	53%	George W. Bush	42%	11
Electoral Vote	September 23, 2004	John Kerry	53%	George W. Bush	40%	13
Electoral Vote	September 22, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	43%	5
Electoral Vote	September 20, 2004	John Kerry	53%	George W. Bush	40%	13
Electoral Vote	September 19, 2004	John Kerry	51%	George W. Bush	39%	12
Electoral Vote	September 12, 2004	John Kerry	55%	George W. Bush	39%	16
Electoral Vote	September 10, 2004	John Kerry	52%	George W. Bush	41%	11
Electoral Vote	September 6, 2004	John Kerry	52%	George W. Bush	42%	10
Electoral Vote	August 16, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	46%	3
Electoral Vote	August 8, 2004	John Kerry	51%	George W. Bush	40%	11
Electoral Vote	August 1, 2004	John Kerry	51%	George W. Bush	40%	11
Electoral Vote	July 23, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	38%	11
Electoral Vote	July 11, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	38%	11

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	October 30, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	50%	3
Electoral Vote	October 30, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	49%	2
Electoral Vote	October 29, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	48%	1
Electoral Vote	October 28, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	52%	6
Electoral Vote	October 27, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	50%	5
Electoral Vote	October 26, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	49%	4
Electoral Vote	October 25, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	45%	4
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	42%	George W. Bush	51%	9
Electoral Vote	October 23, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	46%	3
Electoral Vote	October 22, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	47%	2
Electoral Vote	October 21, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	47%	1
Electoral Vote	October 20, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	45%	4
Electoral Vote	October 17, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	52%	7
Electoral Vote	October 16, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	50%	5
Electoral Vote	October 14, 2004	John Kerry	42%	George W. Bush	48%	6
Electoral Vote	October 13, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	49%	2
Electoral Vote	October 13, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	49%	6
Electoral Vote	October 7, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	52%	8
Electoral Vote	October 6, 2004	John Kerry	41%	George W. Bush	50%	9
Electoral Vote	October 5, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	48%	0
Electoral Vote	October 4, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	48%	1
Electoral Vote	September 28, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	48%	4
Electoral Vote	September 25, 2004	John Kerry	44%	George W. Bush	52%	8
Electoral Vote	September 14, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	46%	1
Electoral Vote	September 13, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	49%	1
Electoral Vote	August 13, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	47%	3
Electoral Vote	June 16, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	48%	5

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	October 26, 2004	John Kerry	52%	George W. Bush	42%	10
Electoral Vote	September 27, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	38%	9
Electoral Vote	September 10, 2004	John Kerry	54%	George W. Bush	39%	15
Electoral Vote	August 14, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	38%	7
Electoral Vote	June 27, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	32%	18
Electoral Vote	May 29, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	36%	10

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	September 22, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	38%	10
Electoral Vote	September 13, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	41%	9

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Democrat in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	September 12, 2004	John Kerry	79%	George W. Bush	11%	68

Florida

27 electoral votes
(Democrat in 1996)
(Republican in 2000)

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Electoral Vote	November 1, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	48%	2
Electoral Vote	November 1, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	48%	0
Electoral Vote	October 31, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	44%	5
Electoral Vote	October 31, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	49%	1
Electoral Vote	October 31, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	48%	0
Electoral Vote	October 31, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	51%	8
Electoral Vote	October 30, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	47%	3
Electoral Vote	October 30, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	50%	3
Electoral Vote	October 29, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	49%	4
Electoral Vote	October 27, 2004	John Kerry	45%	George W. Bush	50%	5
Electoral Vote	October 27, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	50%	4
Electoral Vote	October 27, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	47%	1
Electoral Vote	October 26, 2004	John Kerry	46%	George W. Bush	49%	3
Electoral Vote	October 26, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	51%	8
Electoral Vote	October 25, 2004	John Kerry	49%	George W. Bush	46%	3
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	50%	George W. Bush	48%	2
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	43%	George W. Bush	51%	8
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	48%	George W. Bush	48%	0
Electoral Vote	October 24, 2004	John Kerry	47%	George W. Bush	49%	2

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