Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election
In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous legislative election, held on 17 March 2015, to the present day. The next legislative election must be held on 5 November 2019, though it may be held earlier if the government chooses to hold early elections.[1]
Seat projections
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Israeli polls do not take the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls report the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminate parties that poll below the threshold and distribute the 120 available Knesset seats only among those who pass it. As a result, parties that poll at or near the threshold can show[2] inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats. Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.
Date | Poll | Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Yesh Atid |
Zionist Union |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Meretz |
Joint List |
Kulanu |
Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | ||||||||||||||||||
2 Dec | Midgam/iPanel | 25 | 8 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 0 | ||||||
4 Nov | Smith/Reshet Bet[3] | 26 | 8 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 5 | ||||||
2 Oct | Panels Politics/Maariv[4] | 22 | 9 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 5 | ||||||
26 Sep | TNS/Channel 1[5] | 21 | 9 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 4 | ||||||
9 Sep | Geocartography/Channel 1[6] | 23 | 9 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | ||||||
6 Sep | Midgam/iPanel[7] | 22 | 10 | 24 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||||||
11 Aug | Maagar Mochot[8] | 27 | 9 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 6 | ||||||
7 Aug | Geocartography[9] | 25 | 7 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | ||||||
3 Jun | Jerusalem Post/Smith Poll[10] | 27 | 8 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 8 | ||||||
29 May | Geocartography/Kol Chai[11] | 27 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | ||||||
27 May | Smith/Reshet Bet[12] | 28 | 8 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 9 | ||||||
17 May | Geocartography/Channel 1[13] | 27 | 9 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 3 | ||||||
17 May | Panels Politics/Maariv[14] | 26 | 11 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 8 | ||||||
16 May | Midgam/iPanel[15] | 27 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 9 | ||||||
16 May | Midgam/Statnet[16] | 25 | 9 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 5 | ||||||
25 Mar | Smith/Reshet Bet[17] | 26 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 7 | ||||||
24 Mar | Dialog[18] | 27 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 7 | ||||||
9 Mar | TNS/Channel 1[19] | 25 | 8 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 4 | ||||||
5 Mar | Midgam/Channel 2[20] | 26 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 7 | ||||||
26 Feb | Smith/Reshet Bet[21] | 27 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 8 | ||||||
19 Feb | Panels Politics[22] | 27 | 10 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 9 | ||||||
28 Jan | Maagar Mochot[23] | 30 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 12 | ||||||
21 Jan | Channel 10[24] | 27 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 11 | ||||||
1 Jan | Midgam/Yediot Achranot[25] | 25 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 7 | ||||||
2015 | ||||||||||||||||||
30 Nov | Maagar Mochot[26] | 31 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 11 | ||||||
2015 election results | 30 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 6 | |||||||
Date | Poll | Lead | ||||||||||||||||
Likud |
Yisrael Beiteinu |
Yesh Atid |
Zionist Union |
Jewish Home |
Shas |
UTJ |
Meretz |
Joint List |
Kulanu |
References
- ↑ "Weekend Perspective: The undecided factors of the next election". Knesset Jeremy. 10 April 2016. Retrieved 13 April 2016.
- ↑ "Panicked Shas 'Liable to Disappear from Political Map'". Israel National News. 16 Dec 2014.
- ↑ "Smith/Reshet Bet Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 21, Zionist Union&Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 12, Yisrael Beitenu 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 4 November 2016.
- ↑ "Maariv Poll: Yesh Atid 27, Likud 22, Bayit Yehudi 14, Joint List 13, Zionist Union 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 2 October 2016.
- ↑ "Channel 1 Poll: Yesh Atid 25, Likud 21, Bait Yehudi 13, Joint List 13, Zionist Union 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 27 September 2016.
- ↑ "Channel 1 Poll: Yesh Atid 27, Likud 23, Joint List 13, Zionist Union/Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 11 September 2016.
- ↑ "Dramatic Channel 2 Poll: Yesh Atid 24, Likud 22, Bayit Yehudi 14, Zionist Union 13, Joint List 13; Scenario Poll: Likud 21, Yesh Atid 21, Bayit Yehudi 14, Yaalon 7". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 6 September 2016.
- ↑ "Maagar Mochot Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 21, Bayit Yehudi 13, Joint List 13, Zionist Union 10, Yisrael Beitenu 9 | Jeremy's Knesset Insider". Knessetjeremy.com. 2016-08-15. Retrieved 2016-10-21.
- ↑ "המחנ"צ מתרסק, הבית היהודי מכפיל עצמו - מדיניות ופוליטיקה - חדשות - ערוץ 7". Inn.co.il. 2015-11-03. Retrieved 2016-10-21.
- ↑ "Jerusalem Post/Smith Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 11, Yisrael Beitenu/UTJ 8 | Jeremy's Knesset Insider". Knessetjeremy.com. Retrieved 2016-10-21.
- ↑ "Geocartography Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 21, Bayit Yehudi 14, Joint List 13, UTJ 10, Zionist Union 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 29 May 2016.
- ↑ "Smith Poll: Likud 28, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 10; Scenario Poll: Kahlon+Saar+Yaalon 25, Likud 21". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 27 May 2016.
- ↑ "Channel 1 Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 24, Joint List 13, Zionist Union 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 20 May 2016.
- ↑ "Maariv Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 18, Bayit Yehudi 14, Zionist Union 13, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 11; +3 Yaalon Scenario Polls". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 17 May 2016.
- ↑ "Channel 2 Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 18, Zionist Union 17, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 16 May 2016.
- ↑ "Channel 10 Poll: Likud 25, Yesh Atid 20, Joint List 14, Zionist Union 13, Bayit Yehudi 12; 22% of Zionist Union voters moved to Yesh Atid". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 16 May 2016.
- ↑ "Smith/Reshet Bet Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 17, Joint List 12, Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 25 Mar 2016.
- ↑ "A Dialog/Haaretz Scenario Poll". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 24 Mar 2016.
- ↑ "Teleseker/Channel 1 Poll: Likud 25, Yesh Atid 21, Zionist Union 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 9 Mar 2016.
- ↑ "Midgam Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 5 Mar 2016.
- ↑ "Smith Poll: Likud 27, Zionist Union 19, Yesh Atid 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 26 Feb 2016.
- ↑ "Panels Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 18, Zionist Union 15, Bayit Yehudi 12, Joint List 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 19 Feb 2016.
- ↑ "Maagar Mochot Poll: Likud 30, Zionist Union 18, Yesh Atid 18, Joint List 13, Kulanu 4". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 28 Jan 2016.
- ↑ "Thursday Channel 10 Poll: 27 Likud, 16 Yesh Atid, 15 Zionist Union, 14 Joint List, 13 Bayit Yehudi". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 24 Jan 2016.
- ↑ "Last Poll of 2015: Likud 25, Herzog 18, Lapid 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 1 Jan 2016.
- ↑ "First Public Poll since March: Likud 31, Zionist Union 20, Yesh Atid 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 3 Dec 2015.